Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 85.124707 95.106693 105.273269 116.371757 128.116303 140.146122 153.371021
2025-08-03 68.448778 82.764706 97.969736 115.195423 134.048397 153.945622 176.424800
2025-08-10 59.281518 76.082876 94.484836 115.878561 139.826084 165.590416 195.195555
2025-08-17 51.348666 69.740356 90.466928 115.125387 143.268148 174.037706 209.887943
2025-08-24 45.515141 65.147485 87.851753 115.413609 147.392994 182.827724 224.581680
2025-08-31 39.856325 60.211985 84.373816 114.287149 149.542001 189.093965 236.181565
2025-09-07 36.291790 57.509935 83.270756 115.695010 154.403064 198.265675 250.913685
2025-09-14 33.365055 55.347937 82.609964 117.446239 159.515118 207.608544 265.747169
2025-09-21 29.602184 51.784028 79.965470 116.583707 161.359549 213.031849 275.967521
2025-09-28 25.645927 47.631693 76.318114 114.264623 161.273807 216.051471 283.280153
2025-10-05 24.689454 47.548763 77.850869 118.351644 168.898834 228.120449 301.112073
2025-10-12 23.213261 46.600332 78.160104 120.826849 174.509607 237.775124 316.105904
2025-10-19 20.735905 44.032412 76.223560 120.393262 176.542710 243.206369 326.214100
2025-10-26 18.320205 41.354704 73.995682 119.473305 177.892887 247.767164 335.263576
2025-11-02 16.646700 39.678695 73.039549 120.126603 181.142270 254.567462 346.933164
2025-11-09 14.698655 37.382215 71.087558 119.364583 182.531564 259.057149 355.806721
2025-11-16 13.233028 35.746074 69.981592 119.657772 185.204713 265.072123 366.478659
2025-11-23 11.519437 33.505386 67.877206 118.507737 185.959134 268.683390 374.220998
2025-11-30 10.607097 32.605640 67.697888 119.945237 190.020026 276.349579 386.849675
2025-12-07 9.849753 31.919108 67.794540 121.733159 194.517325 284.547765 400.123745
2025-12-14 8.562053 30.069598 66.024139 120.852585 195.481875 288.323625 408.001442
2025-12-21 7.103980 27.670591 63.268605 118.484712 194.414524 289.505802 412.670180
2025-12-28 7.026841 28.167760 65.105416 122.657440 202.010942 301.561473 430.660221